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NIE Cites Grave Concerns on Iraq’s Government – Kerry Says NIE Shows Escalation Isn’t Working

by Pamela Leavey

The N.Y. Times reports today that the latest NIE shows, “the government of Iraqi Prime Minister Nuri Kamal al-Maliki will become “more precarious” over the next six months to a year, and while its security forces have improved they are not strong enough to operate without outside help.”

The report says that there’s been little political progress to date, and it’s very gloomy on the chances for political progress in the future,” a Congressional official with knowledge of its contents said even before the document’s release

The Bush administration and allies will no doubt attempt to “use the document to argue that the United States should not pull out its troops too quickly,” but the writing on the wall is clear. The “surge” ala “escalation” isn’t working.

John Kerry issued the following statement today after a National Intelligence Estimate on Iraq was released today (This NIE updates the January 2007 report on Iraq):

“It’s no surprise that today’s NIE says political progress in Iraq is ‘elusive,’ and guesses that ‘the Iraqi government will become more precarious over the next six to 12 months,’” Kerry said. “The latest NIE on Iraq reinforces what we’ve known for a long time: Despite our troops’ sacrifice, Iraqi politicians are not taking the necessary steps to achieve national reconciliation, and only political progress can build a sustainable security in Iraq.”

Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid said today that the latest NIE “highlights need for urgent change In Iraq policy.”

Think Progress reports:

The powerful Republican lobbying group of Barbour Griffith & Rogers is plotting an effort to displace Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki and supplant him with former interim Iraqi Prime Minister Iyad Allawi.

The full NIE is available here.

Enough Is Enough.

Bring Them Home.

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